| INVEST 96 (AL96)

Real-time Guidance for INVEST 96 (AL96)

This page provides plots and information for INVEST 96 (AL96). The left side of this page provides TCGP-generated plots of numerical guidance and other TCGP-curated data. The right side of this page provides external links to additional information and products. Most of the model guidance displayed in the plots come from modeling centers outside of NCAR, such as NOAA, other national numerical weather prediction centers, and universities. Click here for information about who contributes to TCGP. Your use of this page is governed by the UCAR Terms of Service and this site's disclaimer. To obtain help for any item on this page, click on the question mark beside that item.

Information as of the most recent model cycle ?

At 0000 UTC, 12 November 2021, INVEST 96 (AL96) was located in the North Atlantic basin at 44.1°N and 36.9°W. The current intensity was -999 kt and the center was moving at -999 kt at a bearing of -999 degrees. The minimum central pressure was -999 mb.

Reconnaissance Aircraft Data ?

No Vortex Data Messages were found for this system.

Track guidance ?

Early cycle track guidance ?
Archive
Late cycle track guidance ?
Archive

Ensemble Prediction System (EPS) track guidance and diagnostics ?

Late cycle GEFS-GEPS-NAVGEM track by EPS ?
Archive
Extra late GEFS-GEPS-NAVGEM track by EPS ?
Archive
A plot of late cycle GEFS track by VMAX has not yet been generated.
A plot of late cycle GEFS track by MSLP has not yet been generated.
A plot of late cycle GEFS track by TIME has not yet been generated.
A plot of late cycle GEFS track by Vertical Shear has not yet been generated.
Late cycle GEFS track by SST ?
Archive
A plot of late cycle GEFS track by Potential Intensity has not yet been generated.
A plot of late cycle GEFS track by Total Precipitable Water has not yet been generated.
A plot of late cycle GEFS track by Low-level Relative Humidity has not yet been generated.
A plot of late cycle GEFS track by Probability of Rapid Intensification by GELOG has not yet been generated.

Intensity guidance ?

Early cycle intensity guidance ?
Archive
Late cycle experimental intensity guidance ?
Archive

Probabilistic wind exceedance guidance ?

A plot of 34-kt wind exceedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF*.
A plot of 50-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF*.
A plot of 64-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF*.
A plot of 83-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF*.
A plot of 96-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF*.
A plot of 34-kt wind exceedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-GEFS*.
A plot of 50-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-GEFS*.
A plot of 64-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-GEFS*.
A plot of 83-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-GEFS*.
A plot of 96-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-GEFS*.

*The data incorporated herein is generated from the use of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)’s Forecasts of Hurricanes Using Large-ensemble Outputs (FHLO) version 1.50, © MIT, used with permission. All Rights Reserved.

ATCF data files ?

aal962021.dat ?
track and intensity forecasts (a-deck)
bal962021.dat ?
history file (b-deck)
fal962021.dat ?
fixes file (f-deck)

Links to Official Warning Information

RSMC Miami - U.S. National Hurricane Center

5-day Forecast with Uncertainty Cone
Surface Wind Field
Wind History
Probability of Tropical Storm-force Winds (34-kt)
Probability of Storm-force Winds (50-kt Winds)
Probability of Hurricane-force Winds (64-kt)
Earliest Resonable Time of Approach of 34-kt Winds (Experimental)
Most Likely Time of Approach of 34-kt Winds (Experimental)

Environmental Diagnostics ?

SHIPS diagnostic message ?
Archive

Links to External Satellite-based Products

CIRA TC Real-time Page for INVEST 96

Enhanced Infrared Imagery Loop (4 km Mercator)
Storm Relative Visible Imagery Loop (1 km Geostationary)
AMSU Microwave 89GHz Imagery (4 km Mercator)
Multiplatform Satellite Surface Wind Analysis (Operational)
Multiplatform Satellite Surface Wind Analysis (Experimental)
Aircraft-based Surface Wind Analysis

UW-CIMSS TC Satellite Products for INVEST 96

Satellite Consensus Intensity Estimates   More info ?
Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) ?
ARCHER Center-finding Technique ?
ARCHER Eyewall Replacement Cycle Diagnostic and Prediction ?
Morphed Integrated Microwave Imagery at CIMSS (MIMIC-TC) ?

Observations near INVEST 96

   NDBC Ship and Buoy Obs within 300 km

   Mesonet Observations from NWS WRH Hazard Viewer