This page provides plots and information for POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINETEEN (AL19). The left side of this page provides TCGP-generated plots of numerical guidance and other TCGP-curated data. The right side of this page provides external links to additional information and products. Most of the model guidance displayed in the plots come from modeling centers outside of NCAR, such as NOAA, other national numerical weather prediction centers, and universities. Click here for information about who contributes to TCGP. Your use of this page is governed by the UCAR Terms of Service and this site's disclaimer. To obtain help for any item on this page, click on the question mark beside that item.
At 1200 UTC, 18 November 2024, POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE NINETEEN (AL19) was located in the North Atlantic basin at 19.5°N and 91.9°W. The current intensity was 25 kt and the center was moving at 12 kt at a bearing of 310 degrees. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb.
A plot of late cycle GEFS track by Probability of Rapid Intensification by GELOG has not yet been generated.
A plot of 34-kt wind exceedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF*.
A plot of 50-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF*.
A plot of 64-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF*.
A plot of 83-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF*.
A plot of 96-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF*.
track and intensity forecasts (a-deck)
history file (b-deck)
fixes file (f-deck)
Observations near SARA