Real-time Guidance for TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTYEIGH (WP28)

This page provides plots and information for TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTYEIGH (WP28). The left side of this page provides TCGP-generated plots of numerical guidance and other TCGP-curated data. The right side of this page provides external links to additional information and products. Most of the model guidance displayed in the plots come from modeling centers outside of NCAR, such as NOAA, other national numerical weather prediction centers, and universities. Click here for information about who contributes to TCGP. Your use of this page is governed by the UCAR Terms of Service and this site's disclaimer. To obtain help for any item on this page, click on the question mark beside that item.


Information as of the most recent model cycle

At 0000 UTC, 23 December 2024, TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTYEIGH (WP28) was located in the Northwest Pacific basin at 10.9°N and 112.7°E. The current intensity was 30 kt and the center was moving at 5 kt at a bearing of 310 degrees. The minimum central pressure was 996 mb.


Track guidance


Ensemble Prediction System (EPS) track guidance and diagnostics

A plot of the extra late GEFS-GEPS-NAVGEM track by EPS has not yet been generated.

A plot of late cycle GEFS track by Vertical Shear has not yet been generated.

A plot of late cycle GEFS track by SST has not yet been generated.

A plot of late cycle GEFS track by Potential Intensity has not yet been generated.

A plot of late cycle GEFS track by Total Precipitable Water has not yet been generated.

A plot of late cycle GEFS track by Low-level Relative Humidity has not yet been generated.

A plot of late cycle GEFS track by Mid-level Relative Humidity has not yet been generated.

A plot of late cycle GEFS track by Radius of Maximum Wind has not yet been generated.

A plot of late cycle GEFS track by Probability of Rapid Intensification by GELOG has not yet been generated.


Intensity guidance


Probabilistic wind exceedance guidance

A plot of 34-kt wind exceedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF*.

A plot of 50-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF*.

A plot of 64-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF*.

A plot of 83-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF*.

A plot of 96-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF*.

A plot of 34-kt wind exceedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-GEFS*.

A plot of 50-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-GEFS*.

A plot of 64-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-GEFS*.

A plot of 83-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-GEFS*.

A plot of 96-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-GEFS*.

*The data incorporated herein is generated from the use of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)’s Forecasts of Hurricanes Using Large-ensemble Outputs (FHLO) version 1.50, © MIT, used with permission. All Rights Reserved.


ATCF data files

track and intensity forecasts (a-deck)

history file (b-deck)


Links to Official Warning Information

RSMC Tokyo - Japan Meteorological Agency


Links to External Satellite-based Products

CIRA TC Real-time Page for TWENTYEIGH
UW-CIMSS TC Satellite Products for TWENTYEIGH