| DISTURBANCE INVEST 94 (SH94)

Real-time Guidance for DISTURBANCE INVEST 94 (SH94)

This page provides plots and information for DISTURBANCE INVEST 94 (SH94). The left side of this page provides TCGP-generated plots of numerical guidance and other TCGP-curated data. The right side of this page provides external links to additional information and products. Most of the model guidance displayed in the plots come from modeling centers outside of NCAR, such as NOAA, other national numerical weather prediction centers, and universities. Click here for information about who contributes to TCGP. Your use of this page is governed by the UCAR Terms of Service and this site's disclaimer. To obtain help for any item on this page, click on the question mark beside that item.

Information as of the most recent model cycle ?

At 0600 UTC, 18 April 2022, DISTURBANCE INVEST 94 (SH94) was located in the South-East Indian basin at 10.1°S and 136°E. The current intensity was 20 kt and the center was moving at 3 kt at a bearing of 0 degrees. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb.

Track guidance ?

Late cycle track guidance ?

Archive

Ensemble Prediction System (EPS) track guidance and diagnostics ?

Late cycle GEFS-GEPS-NAVGEM track by EPS ?

Archive

Extra late GEFS-GEPS-NAVGEM track by EPS ?

Archive

A plot of late cycle GEFS track by VMAX has not yet been generated.

A plot of late cycle GEFS track by MSLP has not yet been generated.

A plot of late cycle GEFS track by TIME has not yet been generated.

A plot of late cycle GEFS track by Vertical Shear has not yet been generated.

Late cycle GEFS track by SST ?

Archive

A plot of late cycle GEFS track by Potential Intensity has not yet been generated.

A plot of late cycle GEFS track by Total Precipitable Water has not yet been generated.

A plot of late cycle GEFS track by Low-level Relative Humidity has not yet been generated.

A plot of late cycle GEFS track by Mid-level Relative Humidity has not yet been generated.

A plot of late cycle GEFS track by Radius of Maximum Wind has not yet been generated.

A plot of late cycle GEFS track by Probability of Rapid Intensification by GELOG has not yet been generated.

Intensity guidance ?

Late cycle intensity guidance ?

Archive

Probabilistic wind exceedance guidance ?

A plot of 34-kt wind exceedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF^*.

A plot of 50-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF^*.

A plot of 64-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF^*.

A plot of 83-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF^*.

A plot of 96-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF^*.

A plot of 34-kt wind exceedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-GEFS^*.

A plot of 50-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-GEFS^*.

A plot of 64-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-GEFS^*.

A plot of 83-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-GEFS^*.

A plot of 96-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-GEFS^*.

^*The data incorporated herein is generated from the use of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)’s Forecasts of Hurricanes Using Large-ensemble Outputs (FHLO) version 1.50, © MIT, used with permission. All Rights Reserved.

ATCF data files ?

ash942022.dat ?

track and intensity forecasts (a-deck)

bsh942022.dat ?

history file (b-deck)

Links to Official Warning Information

TCWC Perth, TCWC Darwin, and TCWC Brisbane - Australia Bureau of Meteorology

Additional Information

Products from the U.S. Joint Typhoon Warning Center

JTWC Warning Graphic for INVEST 94

JTWC Warning Text and Prognostic Discussion for INVEST 94

Links to External Satellite-based Products

CIRA TC Real-time Page for INVEST 94

Enhanced Infrared Imagery Loop (4 km Mercator)

Storm Relative Visible Imagery Loop (1 km Geostationary)

AMSU Microwave 89GHz Imagery (4 km Mercator)

Multiplatform Satellite Surface Wind Analysis (Operational)

Multiplatform Satellite Surface Wind Analysis (Experimental)

Aircraft-based Surface Wind Analysis

UW-CIMSS TC Satellite Products for INVEST 94

Satellite Consensus Intensity Estimates More info ?

Advanced Dvorak Technique (ADT) ?

ARCHER Center-finding Technique ?

Morphed Integrated Microwave Imagery at CIMSS (MIMIC-TC) ?

Observations near INVEST 94

NDBC Ship and Buoy Obs within 300 km

Mesonet Observations from NWS WRH Hazard Viewer

| DISTURBANCE INVEST 94 (SH94)

Real-time Guidance for DISTURBANCE INVEST 94 (SH94)

Information as of the most recent model cycle ?

Track guidance ?

Ensemble Prediction System (EPS) track guidance and diagnostics ?

A plot of late cycle GEFS track by VMAX has not yet been generated.

A plot of late cycle GEFS track by MSLP has not yet been generated.

A plot of late cycle GEFS track by TIME has not yet been generated.

A plot of late cycle GEFS track by Vertical Shear has not yet been generated.

A plot of late cycle GEFS track by Potential Intensity has not yet been generated.

A plot of late cycle GEFS track by Total Precipitable Water has not yet been generated.

A plot of late cycle GEFS track by Low-level Relative Humidity has not yet been generated.

A plot of late cycle GEFS track by Mid-level Relative Humidity has not yet been generated.

A plot of late cycle GEFS track by Radius of Maximum Wind has not yet been generated.

A plot of late cycle GEFS track by Probability of Rapid Intensification by GELOG has not yet been generated.

Intensity guidance ?

Probabilistic wind exceedance guidance ?

A plot of 34-kt wind exceedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF*.

A plot of 50-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF*.

A plot of 64-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF*.

A plot of 83-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF*.

A plot of 96-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF*.

A plot of 34-kt wind exceedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-GEFS*.

A plot of 50-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-GEFS*.

A plot of 64-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-GEFS*.

A plot of 83-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-GEFS*.

A plot of 96-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-GEFS*.

*The data incorporated herein is generated from the use of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)’s Forecasts of Hurricanes Using Large-ensemble Outputs (FHLO) version 1.50, © MIT, used with permission. All Rights Reserved.

ATCF data files ?

track and intensity forecasts (a-deck)

history file (b-deck)

Links to Official Warning Information

Additional Information

Links to External Satellite-based Products

Observations near INVEST 94

A plot of 34-kt wind exceedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF^*.

A plot of 50-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF^*.

A plot of 64-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF^*.

A plot of 83-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF^*.

A plot of 96-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF^*.

A plot of 34-kt wind exceedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-GEFS^*.

A plot of 50-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-GEFS^*.

A plot of 64-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-GEFS^*.

A plot of 83-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-GEFS^*.

A plot of 96-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-GEFS^*.

^*The data incorporated herein is generated from the use of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)’s Forecasts of Hurricanes Using Large-ensemble Outputs (FHLO) version 1.50, © MIT, used with permission. All Rights Reserved.