Real-time (Beta) Guidance for TWENTY-THREE (SH23)
This page provides plots and information for TWENTY-THREE (SH23). The left side of this page provides TCGP-generated plots of numerical guidance and other TCGP-curated data. The right side of this page provides external links to additional information and products. Most of the model guidance displayed in the plots come from modeling centers outside of NCAR, such as NOAA, other national numerical weather prediction centers, and universities. Click here for information about who contributes to TCGP. Your use of this page is governed by the UCAR Terms of Service and this site's disclaimer. To obtain help for any item on this page, click on the question mark beside that item.
Information as of the most recent model cycle
At 1800 UTC, 04 May 2024, TWENTY-THREE (SH23) was located in the South-West Indian basin at 7.6°S and 37.7°E. The current intensity was -999 kt and the center was moving at -999 kt at a bearing of -999 degrees. The minimum central pressure was -999 mb.
Track guidance
Ensemble Prediction System (EPS) track guidance and diagnostics
A plot of late cycle GEFS track by Probability of Rapid Intensification by GELOG has not yet been generated.
Intensity guidance
Probabilistic wind exceedance guidance
A plot of 34-kt wind exceedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF*.
A plot of 50-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF*.
A plot of 64-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF*.
A plot of 83-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF*.
A plot of 96-kt wind exeedance guidance has not yet been generated for FHLO-ECMWF*.
*The data incorporated herein is generated from the use of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)’s Forecasts of Hurricanes Using Large-ensemble Outputs (FHLO) version 1.50, © MIT, used with permission. All Rights Reserved.
ATCF data files
track and intensity forecasts (a-deck)
history file (b-deck)
Links to Official Warning Information
RSMC La Réunion - Meteo France
Links to External Satellite-based Products
CIRA TC Real-time Page for TWENTY-THREE
UW-CIMSS TC Satellite Products for TWENTY-THREE
Observations near TWENTY-THREE