Real-time (Beta) Guidance for MODERATE TROPICAL STORM AGUEDA (SH02)

This page provides plots and information for MODERATE TROPICAL STORM AGUEDA (SH02). The left side of this page provides TCGP-generated plots of numerical guidance and other TCGP-curated data. The right side of this page provides external links to additional information and products. Most of the model guidance displayed in the plots come from modeling centers outside of NCAR, such as NOAA, other national numerical weather prediction centers, and universities. Click here for information about who contributes to TCGP. Your use of this page is governed by the UCAR Terms of Service and this site's disclaimer. To obtain help for any item on this page, click on the question mark beside that item.


Information as of the most recent model cycle

At 0000 UTC, 21 October 2026, MODERATE TROPICAL STORM AGUEDA (SH02) was located in the South-West Indian basin at 5.4°S and 52°E. The current intensity was 45 kt and the center was moving at 7 kt at a bearing of 245 degrees. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb.


Track guidance


Ensemble Prediction System (EPS) track guidance and diagnostics


Intensity guidance


Probabilistic wind exceedance guidance

FHLO probabilistic wind hazard products are not currently available.


ATCF data files

track and intensity forecasts (a-deck)

history file (b-deck)